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This paper assesses the non linear impact of external debt on growth using panel data for 93 developing countries. The … estimates support a non-linear, hump-shaped, relationship between debt and growth, especially when the debt burden is measured … relative to GDP. For a country with average indebtedness, doubling the debt ratio reduces growth by a third to a half …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320624
growing very rapidly in some Asian economies, its contribution to overall credit growth has been modest outside the more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066246
This paper argues that the limited ability to help developing countries in a crisis should shift the focus to policies helping in reducing the ex ante probability of crises. Indirectly, such policies would also alleviate the depths of realized crises. Two specific ideas are explored:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520460
This paper sheds new light on the “trade costs” of sovereign default. It argues that the decline in trade in the wake of sovereign debt crises documented in earlier studies is the result of a reduction in exporters' access to foreign credit. Using an annual panel of 28 industries in 100...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103916
The recent crises highlighted the role of cross-border banking linkages. This paper proposes two new measures for better capturing creditor banking systems' foreign credit exposures and borrower countries' reliance on foreign bank credit, by combining BIS data with bank-level data. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085970
China’s lending boom to developing countries is morphing into defaults and debt distress. Given the secrecy surrounding China’s loans, also the associated defaults remain “hidden”, as missed payments and restructuring details are not disclosed. We construct an encompassing dataset of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012807855
findings is that politics do matter, and international banks tend to have political preferences; annual growth in bank flows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444751
terms, NPV), in most cases below debtdistress level for even the lowest governance groups. Evidence on links between growth … debt relief, but they do this even more through stimulating exports and growth. This holds in particular for those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012445250
Fiscal policy and net capital inflows in developing countries are procyclical. A large amount of literature has examined this phenomenon and explored its consequences for aggregate fluctuations. Multilateral development banks (MDBs) are an important source of external finance for governments and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238386
Compared with China's dominance in world trade, its expanding role in global finance is poorly documented and understood. Over the past decades, China has exported record amounts of capital to the rest of the world. Many of these financial flows are not reported to the IMF, the BIS or the World...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025564