After weathering tumult in its energy and manufacturing sectors in 2015, a diversified Texas economy is poised for slow growth this year. The biggest risk to the outlook: If oil prices average below $30 per barrel, overall job losses could result

A monthly estimate of state job growth prepared by payroll processor ADP is a reliable advance indicator of changes in official employment data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The ADP figures are useful in providing timely analysis of the Texas economy

Recent history has lent casual support to three popular theories about U.S. oil demand: (i) U.S. oil consumption is very insensitive to changing oil prices, (ii) non-price conservation has reduced U.S. oil demand, and (Hi) U.S. oil consumption falls more when oil prices rise than it rises when...