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Pennings (2000) has shown that the government can speed-up investment by subsidizing the potential investing firm's entry cost while taxing the future proceeds from the investment, so as to render the net expected value of its subsidy program zero. This note argues that while speeding-up the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837091
The relationship between the concept of option value in the literature on environmental preservation and the financial theory of option value is discussed by Fisher (2000), suggesting an equivalence between the two concepts. In a recent paper, Mensink and Requate (2004) argue that Fisher’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980616
Investment in pollution prevention technologies are often made under significant uncertainty about the future pay … the timing of investments becomes an important issue for the company. This paper focuses on uncertainty about a future … environmental tax, and shows, within a two period model, that a specific tax uncertainty, standing alone, does not create any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980933
Using real options, we formulate an optimal stopping model for applying pest control measures when the density of a pest population fluctuates randomly. This model is applied to the control of a foliar pest of apples (the European Red Mite) via a pesticide, and solved numerically by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067710
This paper statistically tests the option theory of irreversible investment under uncertainty. Using contingent claims …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100855
A sudden change in investment environment shifts objective uncertainty (characterized by parameters that determine the … distribution of returns) and at the same time heightens subjective uncertainty (about the data generating parameters) unevenly … across investors. For a given state of economy, the uncertainty facing the investor is the sum of the uncertainty in the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005184899
Optimal crop choice and fertilizer applications depend on the stochastic dynamics of commodity prices, fertilizer prices, and the agronomic effects of rotation versus monoculture. The efficient decision rule accounts for real option values associated with maintaining land disposition in an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010764237
uncertainty that has both economic and ecological roots. Public policies directed at invasive species typically lag their … detection. One possible explanation is the coupling of uncertainty with political and economic commitments creates an incentive … see approach often adopted by lawmakers and government agencies. The model shows that the source of uncertainty and degree …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011043435
Many new exporters give up exporting very shortly, despite substantial entry costs; others shoot up foreign sales and expand to new destinations. We develop a model based on experimentation to rationalize these and other dynamic patterns of exporting firms. We posit that individual export...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056336
This paper examines the role played by uncertainty and sunk costs on the timeseries fluctuations in industry structure ….S. manufacturing industries over a 30-year period, our estimates show that time periods of greater uncertainty, especially in … as a key driver of industry dynamics, our results indicate that uncertainty and sunk costs play a crucial role. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005272744