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This paper considers learning when the distinction between risk and ambiguity matters. It first describes thought … experiments, dynamic variants of those provided by Ellsberg, that highlight a sense in which the Bayesian learning model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005200802
When ambiguity averse investors process news of uncertain quality, they act as if they take a worst-case assessment of … returns, increase price volatility and induce ambiguity premia that depend on idiosyncratic risk in fundamentals. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504015
When ambiguity averse investors process news of uncertain quality, they act as if they take a worst-case assessment of … induce ambiguity premia that depend on idiosyncratic risk in fundamentals. Moreover, shocks to information quality can have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504043
The inability of the Bayesian model to accomodate Ellsberg-type behavior is well known. This paper focuses on another limitation of the Bayesian model, specific to a dynamic setting, namely the inability to permit a distinction between experiments that are identical and those that are only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808190
For US investors, international equity exposure has never been so readily available at such a low cost. Nonetheless, surveys indicate US investors typically allocate 80–85% of their equity holdings to US equities, much higher than their proportion of global market value. In this note we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860180
misspecified models. Under model misspecification, standard Bayesian learning loses its formal justification and biased learning … processes may provide a selection advantage. However, considering two cases of model misspecification and four learning … processes, our analysis reveals a general difficulty in ranking learning behaviors with respect to their long-run performances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014541784
-reaction occurs, thus rational agents may strategically want to bias their learning process. Our analysis points out that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013205381
agent they consider is characterized by an imperfect learning model. An interesting question that emerges is if, and to what …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013205388
agent they consider is characterized by an imperfect learning model. An interesting question that emerges is if, and to what …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161531
-reaction occurs, thus rational agents may strategically want to bias their learning process. Our analysis points out that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797563