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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012000315
In this paper the author analyzes the behavior of exchange rates expectations for four currencies, by considering a re …-calculation and an extension of Resende and Zeidan (Expectations and chaotic dynamics: Empirical evidence on exchange rates, Economics … expectations, although the so-called 0-1 test strongly supports the chaos hypothesis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863440
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This paper provides a new perspective on the exchange rate disconnect puzzle by referring to the expectations building … mechanism in foreign exchange markets. Therefore, we analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for … expected exchange rate changes. In doing so, we assess data for 31 economies from 2002 to 2017 and consider expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435503
In this paper the author analyzes the behavior of exchange rates expectations for four currencies, by considering a re …-calculation and an extension of Resende and Zeidan (Expectations and chaotic dynamics: empirical evidence on exchange rates, Economics … expectations, although the so-called 0-1 test strongly supports the chaos hypothesis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011821529
This study examines what role the concept of endogenous uncertainty can have in explaining a phenomenon of international financial markets, the forward discount bias. The forward discount bias puzzle is unexplained by models assuming economic agents have full knowledge of the structure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878167
expectations. We provide ample anecdotal, historical, and heuristic information on the goodness-of-fit of the various exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144534
We examine the predictive ability and consistency properties of exchange rate expectations for the dollar/euro using a … forecasting ability for time horizons from 3 to 9 months, although only for the 3-month ahead expectations we obtain marginal … evidence of unbiasedness and efficiency in the forecasts. As for the consistency properties of the exchange rate expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650316