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In complete markets economies (Sandroni [15]), or in economies with Pareto optimal outcomes (Blume and Easley [9]), the market selection hypothesis holds, as long as traders have identical discount factors. Traders who survive must have beliefs that merge with the truth. We show that in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509602
We consider customer joining behaviour for a system that consists of a FCFS queue with Bernoulli feedback. A consequence of the feedback characteristic is that the sojourn time of a customer already in the system depends on the joining decisions taken by future arrivals to the system. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509603
This paper estimates the money demand function for Jamaica using a Structural co-integrating VAR. This approach provides estimates of the long run structural relations and also reveals the complex short run feedbacks of monetary policy on key macro variables. In recent years Jamaican governments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509604
We use a supply-demand framework to model the hourly day-ahead spot price of electricity based on publicly available information. With the model we can forecast the level and the probability of a spike in the spot price de¯ned as the spot price being above a certain threshold. Several European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509605
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509606
We revisit the problem of calculating the exact distribution of optimal investments in a mean variance world under multivariate normality. The context we consider is where problems in optimisation are addressed through the use of Monte-Carlo simulation. Our findings give clear insight as to when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509608
We employ the Schwartz and Smith (2000) model to explore the dynamics of the UK gas markets. We discuss in detail the short-term and long-term market prices of risk borne by the market players and how deviations from expected cyclical storage affect the short-term market price of risk. Finally,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509610
This paper considers structural nonparametric random utility models for continuous choice variables. It provides sufficient conditions on the structural model to yield reduced-form systems of nonparametric stochastic demand functions that constitute a global homeomorphism between demands and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509611
Traditional dynamic hedging strategies are based on local information (ie Delta and Gamma) of the financial instruments to be hedged. We propose a new dynamic hedging strategy that employs non-local information and compare the profit and loss (P&L) resulting from hedging vanilla options when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509613
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509614