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Allen, Donald S. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 1999

Empirical tests of the production-smoothing hypothesis have yielded mixed results. In this paper, Donald Allen looks for, and finds evidence of, seasonal production smoothing in 15 out of 25 manufacturing series and 8 out of 10 retail series, using detrended seasonally unadjusted data. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352964

Filtering permanent cycles with complex unit roots

Allen, Donald S. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 1997

Separating cyclical movement from trend growth at seasonal and business cycle frequencies is important to macroeconomic research. At business cycle frequencies, time trends, first differences and the more recent Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter are used to separate trends from cycles. At seasonal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352879

Seasonality and equilibrium business cycle theories

Braun, R. Anton; Evans, Charles L. - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis - 1994

We consider a dynamic, stochastic equilibrium business cycle model which is augmented to reflect seasonal shifts in preferences, technology, and government purchases. Our estimated parameterization implies implausibly large seasonal variation in the state of technology: rising at an annual rate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712384

A neoclassical model of seasonal fluctuations

Chatterjee, Satyajit; Ravikumar, B. - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 1991

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717325

Interactions between the seasonal and business cycles in production and inventories

Cecchetti, Stephen G.; Kashyap, Anil K.; Wilcox, David W. - Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - 1997

This paper shows that in several U.S. manufacturing industries, the seasonal variability of production and inventories varies with the state of the business cycle. We present a simple model which implies that if firms reduce the seasonal variability of their production as the economy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005410914

Seasonality and equilibrium business cycle theories

Braun, R. Anton; Evans, Charles L. - Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - 1991

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005410917

Seasonal adjustment of the money supply

Hein, Scott E.; Ott, Mack - In: Review (1983) Nov, pp. 16-25

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005414959

Trend shocks and cyclicality of gross financial flows

Ersal-Kiziler, Eylem - In: International journal of economics and finance 7 (2015) 5, pp. 1-12

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528326

Expansionary and contractionary technology improvements : conference paper

Balleer, Almut; Enders, Zeno - 2013 - Preliminary and incomplete

This paper examines the effects of expansionary technology shocks (shocks that increase labor productivity and factor … inputs) as opposed to contractionary technology shocks (shocks that increase labor productivity, but decrease factor inputs … productivity and production inputs. In addition, these shocks trigger different reactions of certain variables, which can help …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010336790

Business cycles in Bulgaria and the Baltic countries : an RBC approach

Vasilev, Aleksandar - 2009

and data series show that the major drop in output was due to productivity. In addition, the timing of the banking reforms …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487452

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