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This paper studies different types of commitment policy in an economy where the deterministic steady state is inefficient. We show how a policy suggested by the approach of policy design entails positive long-run inflation, even in the purely forward-looking canonical New Keynesian model. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837150
We study whether and how fiscal restrictions alter the business cycle features of macrovariables for a sample of 48 US states. We also examine the ”typical” transmission properties of fiscal disturbances and the implied fiscal rules of states with different fiscal restrictions. Fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071547
This paper analyses in a unified framework the twin issues of the appropriate horizon for achieving price stability in the face of unexpected disturbances and the choice of a price level versus an inflation objective. Using a small estimated forward-looking model of the euro area economy, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604070
Discretionary monetary policy produces a dynamic loss in the New Keynesian model in the presence of cost-push shocks. The possibility to commit to a specific policy rule can increase welfare. A number of authors since Woodford (1999) have argued in favour of a timeless perspective rule as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604763
We study whether and how fiscal restrictions alter the business cycle features of macrovariables for a sample of 48 US states. We also examine the ”typical” transmission properties of fiscal disturbances and the implied fiscal rules of states with different fiscal restrictions. Fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772224
, uncertainty about the regime makes policy more cautious. Third, a policymaker uncertain about the true stochastic properties of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706520
Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived … macroeconomic uncertainty of some households. The effects on their spending decisions relative to an untreated control group are … measured in follow-up surveys. Higher macroeconomic uncertainty induces households to reduce their spending on non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012491975
This paper is an empirical investigation of uncertainty in the Euro Zone as well as the US. It conducts a factor … analysis of uncertainty measures starting in 2001 until the end of 2011. For this purpose I use survey-based data provided by … implied volatility of stock market movements. Each measure shows an increase in uncertainty during the last years marked by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259226
, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood … between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler maxmin with multiple priors framework to lenders … include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144737
Economists have studied for a long time how decision-makers allocate scarce resources. The recent literature on rational inattention studies how decision-makers allocate the scarce resource attention. The idea is that decision-makers have a limited amount of attention and have to decide how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395648