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This paper constructs a stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy consisting of risk-averse optimising agents with unconventional preferences. We use this model (i) to analyze the determinants of the foreign exchange rate risk premium; (ii) to explore the importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012742530
We develop and estimate a consumption-based asset pricing model that assumes recursive utility using historical US financial data, allowing for regime changes, priced regime risk, and intrinsic bubbles. We also estimate several restricted versions which include only a subset of these features....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257162
This paper proposes a contemporaneous smooth transition threshold autoregressive model (C-STAR) as a modification of the smooth transition threshold autoregressive model surveyed in Teräsvirta [1998. Modelling economic relationships with smooth transition regressions. In: Ullah, A., Giles,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011314127
Researchers who estimate affine term structure models often impose overidentifying restrictions (restrictions on parameters beyond those necessary for identification) for a variety of reasons. While some of those restrictions seem to have minor effects on the extracted factors and some measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611069
We study how entry and exit decisions of a monopolist are affected by business cycle conditions. We model the business cycle as a two-state Markov process, and assume that the demand curve faced by the monopolist evolves differently in the two states of the economy. We explore conditions under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620881
This paper considers the problem of estimating Markov regime switching models with endogenous explanatory variables. When the data-generating process for consumption is subject to Markov regime switching, the standard model for the term structure of interest rates based on the Euler equations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620951
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012082779
This paper explores the interactions between cross-sectional aggregation and persistence of volatility shocks. We derive the ARMA-GARCH representation that linear aggregates of ARMA processes with GARCH errors admit, and establish conditions under which persistence in volatility of the aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005523999
This paper investigates the presence of target-zone nonlinearities in the Pound Sterling/Deutsche Mark exchange rate for the period of the UK European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) membership, using data with frequency of every two days. Tests against general nonlinear specifications as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005489345