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This paper evaluates the predictive out-of-sample forecasting properties of six different economic uncertainty …. The core contention is that economic uncertainty improves both forecast accuracy as well as direction-of-change forecasts … an increased relevance of certain economic uncertainty measures for forecasting growth in both real aggregate as well as …
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reliance, identify possible vulnerabilities by simulating shocks to GSCs in presence of uncertainty. We stress test supply … sourcing diversification changes in the presence of uncertainty and what are the implications for supply chain robustness and …
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, the analyzed cryptocurrencies’ returns exhibited similar patterns of uncertainty and risk. Levels of uncertainty were … close to the maximum values, but high uncertainty is not always associated with high risk. During the pandemic crisis …, uncertainty increased while risk decreased, suggesting that the considered assets may have safe haven properties. …
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