The authors show that individuals' errors in identifying the relationships among variables cause downward biases in the aggregate that are equivalent to the public underestimating the strengths of the true relationships. They argue that rational expectations has considered only the...

The authors' note shows that the level of risk-sharing is not likely to increase when a deficit is created. A certain level of insurance can as easily be accomplished under a balanced budget or under a surplus, and the creation of a deficit does not provide a superior means, and probably an...

Several recent empirical studies have challenged the conventional wisdom that deficits cause a higher interest rate. Many economists are, however, critical of the seemingly implied theoretical justification--that every individual fully recognizes the size of the deficit and the extent to which...

Dan A. Black and Daniel S. Nagin state that my article with David Mustard assumes that the effect of concealed-handgun laws is constant over time, that the effect is the same across states, that the article does not control for local time trends, and that we did not investigate whether the...

This paper presents time-series evidence on the voting behavior of members of the U.S. House of Representatives from 1975 to 1990. The empirical results indicate that voting behavior of individual congressmen is remarkably stable over time. The authors find no evidence of economically...

Many recent game-theoretic models suggest that, with asymmetric information, it can be profitable for firms to acquire a reputation for toughness to discourage later entry. The authors identify institutional arrangements that firms must undertake if predatory commitments are to be credible. For...

This paper examines the sizes of the fines, damage awards, remediation costs, and market value losses imposed on companies that violate environmental regulations. Firms that violate environmental laws suffer statistically significant losses in the market value of firm equity. The losses,...