Cakmakli, Cem; Paap, Richard; Dijk, Dick van - İktisat Bölümü, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi - 2012
This paper conducts an empirical analysis of the heterogeneity of recessions in monthly U.S. coincident and leading indicator variables. Univariate Markovswitching models indicate that it is appropriate to allow for two distinct recession regimes, corresponding with ‘mild’ and ‘severe’...