Showing 1 - 10 of 1,108
We make four contributions in this paper. First, we provide a core of macroeconomic time series usable for systematic research on China. Second, we document, through various empirical methods, the robust findings about striking patterns of trend and cycle. Third, we build a theoretical model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310203
The development of employment and unemployment in regional labour markets is known to spatially interdependent. Global Vector-Autoregressive (GVAR) models generate a link between the local and the surrounding labour markets and thus might be useful when analysing and forecasting employment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332629
This milestone provides a broad overview of model development under Work Package 205 of the WWWforEurope project. It describes briefly the challenge of modelling combined economic, ecological and financial systems and sets out a series of objectives for modelling the socio-economic transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411040
We consider combinations of subjective survey forecasts and model-based forecasts from linear and non-linear univariate specifications as well as multivariate factor-augmented models. Empirical results suggest that a simple equal-weighted average of survey forecasts outperform the best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322597
We develop an isotone recursive approach to the problem of existence, computation, and characterization of nonsymmetric locally Lipschitz continuous (and, therefore, Clarke-differentiable) Markovian equilibrium for a class of infinite horizon multiagent competitive equilibrium models with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325200
Over the last decade, isotone recursive methods have provided unified catalog of results on existence, characterization, and computation of Markovian Equilibrium Decision Processes (MEDPs) in infinite horizon economies where the second welfare theorem fails. Such economies include models with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325220
The purpose of this paper is to provide an analysis of the impact the UV-curve had on economic theory and to provide an account of the subsequent radical changes in its place and role over the decades since its first appearance in 1958. The paper traces the historical development of the UV-curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325288
The establishment of appropriate policy measures for fighting unemployment has always been difficult since causes of unemployment are hard to identify. This paper analyses an approach used mainly in the 1960s and 1970s in economics, in which classification is used as a way to deal with such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325353
This four-chapter overview of basic exchange rate theories discusses (i) the elasticity and absorption approach, (ii) the (long-run) implications of the monetary approach, (iii) the short-run effects of monetary and fiscal policy under various economic conditions, and (iv) the transition from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325398
This paper investigates two different procedures for the measurement of the NAIRU; one based on structural modeling while the other is a statisticai approach using Vector Auto Regression (VAR)-models. Both measurement procedures are assessed by confronting them with the dominant theory of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325543