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When a spot market monopolist has a position in a corresponding futures market, he has an incentive to deviate from the spot market optimum to make this position more profitable. Rational futures market makers take this into account when setting prices. We show that the monopolist, by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298321
In this paper we consider the dynamics of spot and futures prices in the presence of arbitrage. We propose a partially linear error correction model where the adjustment coefficient is allowed to depend non-linearly on the lagged price difference. We estimate our model using data on the DAX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298395
The regulatory changes in the german electric power market result in rising electricity price volatility. As a consequence electricity price risk management is essential for an electricity trader. The paper therefore analyzes the needed volume of futures hedging for an electricity trader, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298507
This paper presents an introductory analysis of price formation and volatility in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme using highfrequency data. The results show that there are several anomalies both in the EUA spot and EUA futures market. First, price formation seems to take place on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298790
We collect simple and pragmatic exact formulae for the convexity adjustment of irregular interest rate cash flows as Libor-in-arrears or payments of a swap rate (CMS rate) at an irregular date. The results are compared with the results of an approximative approach available in the popular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298886
This paper empirically examines price formation in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS). Our analysis shows that unexpected allocations of European Union Allowances (EUAs) lead to pronounced price reactions of the expected signs. Moreover, we find evidence that the adjustment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299076
With the celebrated model of Black and Scholes in 1973 the development of modern option pricing models started. One of the assumptions of the Black and Scholes model is that the risky asset evolves according to a geometric Brownian motion which implies normally distributed log-returns. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299822
In this paper we model the adjustment process of European Union Allowance (EUA) prices to the releases of announcements at high-frequency controlling for intraday periodicity, volatility clustering and volatility persistence. We find that the high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300507
The mainstream model of option pricing is based on an exogenously given process of price movements. The implication of this assumption is that price movements are not affected by actions of market participants. However, if we assume that there are indeed impacts on the price movements it no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301361
We investigate the pricing of basket credit derivatives and their hedging with single name credit default swaps (CDS) based on a model for the joint dynamics of the fair CDS spreads. In the situation of the market flow of information being a pure jump filtration, we present an extremely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301700