In this paper, we provide a framework to evaluate finite sample MSE of several realized covariance estimators when using nonsynchronous observations contaminated with microstructure noise. This framework enables us to examine different estimators. We propose some estimators as an application of...

We develop tests for common values at first-price sealed-bid auctions. Our tests are nonparametric, require observation only of the bids submitted at each auction, and are based on the fact that the “winner’s curse” arises only in common values auctions. The tests build on recently...

This paper examines empirically the role of bank market power as an internal factor influencing banks’ reaction in terms of lending and risk taking to monetary policy impulses. The analysis is carried out for the U.S. and euro-area banking sectors over the period 1997–2010. Market power is...

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights. Building on the work of Ranjan and Gneiting (2010) and...

This paper examines the causal effects of criminal convictions on labor market outcomes in young men using U.S. data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 cohort. Unlike previous research in this area which relies on assumptions strong enough to obtain point identification, this...

This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model (PVAR) to study the dynamics of the overall exchange rate volatility. PVAR estimation results, based on panel data for 29 economies, are used in simulating impulse response functions. Since economic shocks may affect high-frequency and...

I propose a simple method to nonparametrically estimate the utility function in first-price, sealed-bid auctions when bidders’ participation is exogenous. Using a pair of bid densities, each for a different number of bidders, I establish a contraction mapping that converges to the true utility...

This paper examines the effects of a person’s past financial characteristics on his likelihood to default in ex-post loan performance using both Probit and a semiparametric single-index estimator proposed by Klein and Spady (1993). The data used in the paper are a sample of individual loans...

We develop a new way to incorporate prior information within an Information-Theoretic (IT) estimation framework. The estimator considers many potential priors and uses a simple statistic to choose the optimal solution. Our method outperforms its competitors for all finite data.

In this paper, we examine the forecasting performance of the Value-at-Risk (VaR) models in the MENA equity markets. We use the Asymmetric Power ARCH model to analyze four MENA emerging markets, namely Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, and Turkey. While most empirical studies focus only on holding a long...