We propose a new framework to explain the factor structure in the full cross section of Treasury bond returns. Our method unifies non-parametric curve estimation with cross-sectional factor modeling. We identify smoothness as a fundamental principle of the term structure of returns. Our approach...

This paper develops a large-scale algorithm‑based application to improve the match quality in the labor market. We use comprehensive administrative data on employment biographies in Germany to predict job match quality in terms of job stability and wages. The models are estimated with both...

Purpose Our paper studies a central issue with a long history in economics: the relationship between population and economic growth. We analyze the joint dynamics of economic and demographic growth in 111 countries during the period 1960-2019. Design/methodology/approach Using the concept of...

This article generalizes and extends the kernel block bootstrap (KBB) method of Parente and Smith (2018, 2021) to provide a comprehensive treatment of its use for GMM estimation and inference in time-series models formulated in terms of moment conditions. KBB procedures that employ bootstrap...

We provide a method to measure welfare, in money-metric terms, taking into account expectations about the future. Our two key assumptions are that (1) the expenditure function is separable between the present and the future, and (2) there are some households that do not face idiosyncratic...

This paper investigates the efficiency of the public sector in a sense of public performance and expenditures. For 23 European countries and for the period between 1995 and 2015 we construct a measure of public sector performance that consist of nine distinct indices for each area of public...

This article generalizes and extends the kernel block bootstrap (KBB) method of Parente and Smith (2018, 2021) to provide a comprehensive treatment of its use for GMM estimation and inference in time-series models formulated in terms of moment conditions. KBB procedures that employ bootstrap...