The authors show that the interest rate on Federal funds is extremely informative about future movements of real macroeconomic variables. Then they argue that the reason for this forecasting success is that the funds rate sensitively records shocks to the supply of bank reserves; that is, the...

A small interview survey was undertaken to see how actual wage-setters would react to the central ideas of several economic theories of wage stickiness. Wage cuts were surprisingly prevalent in recent years, despite the booming economy. The strongest finding was that managers believe that...

Keynesian economics came under much criticism in the 1970s. This paper argues that the decline in Keynesian economics and the rise in, notably, new classical economics in this period is related to their respective theoretical appeal rather than their ability to explain developments in the...