In this paper we investigate the asymptotics of forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in the Heston model as the maturity approaches zero. We prove that the forward smile for out-of-the-money options explodes and compute a closed-form high-order expansion detailing the...

We prove here a general closed-form expansion formula for forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in a large class of models, including the Heston stochastic volatility and time-changed exponential Levy models.This expansion applies to both small and large maturities and...

We propose a non-equidistant Q rate matrix formula and an adaptive numerical algorithm for a continuous time Markov chain to approximate jump-diffusions with affine or non-affine functional specifications. Our approach also accommodates state-dependent jump intensity and jump distribution, a...

This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

The topics of Economic Capital modelling, reverse stress testing and credit limits are inextricably intertwined as they all focus on exceptional loss events. In this paper, we use the KVA framework in to frame these three topics within a single unified approach. We propose setting credit limits...

This paper presents an analytically tractable and practically-oriented model of non-linear dynamics of a multi-asset market in the limit of a large number of assets. The asset price dynamics are driven by money flows into the market from external investors, and their price impact. This leads to...

This paper presents a methodology which blends sensitivity analysis and fuzzy arithmetic for managing uncertainty in project financing transactions. Specifically, we adopt the perspective of the equityholders and use the average Return On Equity (ROE) to measure shareholder value creation and,...

Experts’ opinions are widely considered for investment decisions. We collect textual information from cryptocurrency experts, study the dynamics in their discussion topics and their sentiment in relation to market movements. Based on the analysis we test various hypothesis which span if the...

We suggest a model that describes dynamics of the stock price and its intrinsic value in the stock market. The model is based on characterization of the market participants behavior and on the relationship between the stock market and business environment. The model deals with two commonly...

We provide a new theoretical framework for estimating the price sensitivities of a trading position with regard to five underlying factors in jump-diffusion models using jump times Poisson noise. The proposition that results in a general solution is mathematically proved. The general solution...