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En este documento se utiliza la metodología FAVAR (factor augmented VAR) para evaluar el impacto de variaciones no esperadas en cuatro variables internacionales: las tasas de interés de corto plazo, el riesgo, el precio real del petróleo, el café y el carbón, y la actividad económica...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010563805
In this paper we argue that traditional measures of openness of an economy usually overstate the actual degree of openness. This is due to the fact that traditional export or import shares are measured as a share of the gross domestic product. The former are expressed in gross terms, the latter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010567106
This paper analyzes the macroeconomic effects of fiscal and labor market policies in a small open developing country. The basic framework considers an economy with a large informal production sector and a heterogeneous work force. The labor market is segmented as a result of efficiency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005722962
convergence path, the economy initially runs a current account deficit that reflects a consumption boom and a surge in public …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005723070
This paper explores the links between macroeconomic developments, especially monetary policy, and the exchange rate during the period of Japan's bubble economy and subsequent stagnation. The yen experienced epic gyrations over that period, starting with its rapid ascent after the March 1985...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005723089
For three years after the typical developing country opens its stock market to inflows of foreign capital, the average annual growth rate of the real wage in the manufacturing sector increases by a factor of seven. No such increase occurs in a control group of developing countries. The temporary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005723185
Real exchange appreciation has been a common feature in transition economies since the launching of stabilization and reform programs at the beginning of the 1990s. Previous literature has described this phenomenon as an equilibrium adjustment that followed a sharp undervaluation at the start of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656337
, the main remaining adjustment weapon was currency realignment: devaluation could eliminate an unemployment-cum-deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656375
The paper analyses monetary and fiscal policy interactions in a three-country world, interpreted to represent two EU economies and the rest of the world. The analysis extends well-known results in the literature on international policy spillovers by investigating the effects of different sizes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656423
The two-country monetary model is extended to include a consumption externality with habit persistence. This is set within a limited participation framework. The model is simulated using the artificial economy methodology. The 'puzzles' in the forward market are re-examined. The model is able to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656604