This is the foreword to ‘Macroprudential Policy' (BIS Paper No. 86) which contains papers presented at the joint Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) - Bank for International Settlements (BIS) - International Monetary Fund (IMF) conference on "Macroprudential policy: effectiveness and...

We report international evidence for the presence of stock return rebounds following extreme falls in market indices. The data consists of weekly national index returns for 21 world markets. A non-linear time series model is used to capture part of the variation in return autocorrelations across...

This paper studies to what extent surprise money growth may affect output, employment,and real wages from the supply side. Under nominal wage contracts, we analyze the effects of monetary shocks in a limited participation model. We observe that unanticipated money growth increases real wages,...

Fiscal rules are being increasingly used by both emerging and developed economies. This paper analyzes two alternative fiscal policy rules in terms of their impact on debt sustainability: a rule that fixes the ratio of primary surplus to GDP (quot;fixed surplus rulequot;) and one that sets the...

In this paper we examine the difference between T-Bill returns and common stock returns in Turkey. We observe that there is a bond premium in Turkey unlike the equity premia in developed countries. As an attempt to explain this surprising observation, we incorporate inflation risk and default...