How well do various learning models predict the dynamics of the population distribution of play in a variety of games? We measure and compare the in-sample and out-of-sample prediction performance of seven action-reinforcement learning models as well as Rule Learning for symmetric normal-form...

We test the population rule learning model for symmetric normal-form games, and strongly reject: (i) no rule learning, (ii) no diversity, and (iii) no sophisticated evidence. Further, trembles and herd behavior decline and level-2 behavior increases over time

This paper augments the theoretical foundations of organized commodity futures markets and uncovers singular facts about arbitrage and the role of information. Using the term "credit agency" to embrace organized futures markets such as the Chicago Board of Trade as well as independent brokerage...