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to the tests of Hansen, we consider the sensitivity of the augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) teest for cointegration in the … failure to reject the null of no cointegration). As a practical example we consider the stability of the long-run coefficients …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688183
-2003. Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration are carried out and it is discovered that a long run equilibrium relationship between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422988
Using aggregate quarterly data for the period 1975q1–2010q4, I find that the US housing market changed from a stable regime with prices determined by fundamentals, to a highly unstable regime at the beginning of the previous decade. My results indicate that these imbalances could have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583586
Using aggregate quarterly data for the period 1975q1–2010q4, I find that the US housing market changed from a stable regime with prices determined by fundamentals, to a highly unstable regime at the beginning of the previous decade. My results indicate that these imbalances could have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010819023
-2003. Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration are carried out and it is discovered that a long run equilibrium relationship between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556400
nonstationarity and cointegration in the data and various long-run model specifications are studied in detail. Bayesian empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634716
In this paper we examine the properties of several cointegration tests when long run parameters are subject to multiple … shifts, resorting to Monte Carlo methods. We assume that the changes in cointegration regimes are governed by a unobserved … cointegration with the usual procedures is a quite unreliable task, since the performance of the tests is poor for a number of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005572451
In this paper, we propose a simple method for testing cointegration in models that allow for multiple shifts in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005572465
volatility, correlation, beta, quadratic variation, jump variation, and other functionals of an underlying continuous … application to correlation forecasting is presented …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079416
We develop a new parameter stability test against the alternative of observation driven generalized autoregressive score dynamics. The new test generalizes the ARCH-LM test of Engle (1982) to settings beyond time-varying volatility and exploits any autocorrelation in the likelihood scores under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060732