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The aim of this paper is to estimate the degree of RMB misalignment from its equilibrium exchange rate by applying the Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) approach. We employ monthly data with reference to China's top 20 trading partners covering the period of 1997 to 2012. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007133
Using quarterly data from 2000-2007 and applying Error Correction Model and Johansen Co-integration Approaches I estimate the impact of real oil price on the real exchange rate of Azerbaijani manat. Estimation outputs derived from these approaches are very close to each other and indicate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128589
In this paper, I consider modeling the effects of the macroeconomic determinants on the nominal exchange rate to be channeled through the transition probabilities in a Markovian process. The model posits that the deviation of the exchange rate from its fundamental value alters the market's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086075
Using quarterly data from 2000-2007 and applying Error Correction Model and Johansen Co-integration Approaches I estimate the impact of real oil price on the real exchange rate of Azerbaijani manat. Estimation outputs derived from these approaches are very close to each other and indicate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139290
We identify variables that help explain the persistent weakness of the Norwegian krone since 2016 within a fully simultaneous model of the underlying process driving the krone-euro exchange rate. In addition to a set of fundamental variables we consider non-traditional explanatory variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013257136
This paper shows that there are two regularities in foreign exchange markets in advanced countries with flexible regimes. First, real exchange rates are mean-reverting, as implied by the Purchasing Power Parity model. Second, the adjustment takes place via nominal exchange rates. These features...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918409
A common assumption when analysing unemployment is that the economy is closed. However, the equilibrium rate of unemployment is not identified in an open economy unless the foreign sector is modeled. Therefore we set up and estimate a structural unobserved components open economy model for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720839
This study researches the effects of changes in the exchange rate on the trade balance after the transition to the floating exchange rate in the Turkish economy. For this purpose, ARDL and ECM models have been developed by using quarterly data from 2003 through 2018. The starting point of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012210658
In this paper we provide new insights on the dynamics between monetary policy shocks and real exchange rates in small open economies using a time-varying structural vector autoregression model with stochastic volatility. Identification is achieved using a combination of short-run and long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306271
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on economic activity and welfare. In the first part of the paper, the GARCH-SVAR model is applied to measure empirically the effect of the conditional exogenous exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319388