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methodology to estimate these two channels of spillovers. We first propose an index of a firm's sensitivity to consumer demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264107
This paper analyzes the impact of global and regional spillovers to GCC equity markets. GCC equity markets were … impacted by spillovers from U.S. equity markets despite varying degrees of foreign participation. Spillovers from regional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151201
This paper defines a set of banking stability measures which take account of distress dependence among the banks in a system, thereby providing a set of tools to analyze stability from complementary perspectives by allowing the measurement of (i) common distress of the banks in a system, (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826223
Convergence and spillovers across countries and within countries are old, but recurrent policy concerns, and India is … no exception to this rule. This paper examines convergence and spillovers across Indian states using non-stationary panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470398
-of-sample forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604894
This Selected Issues paper analyzes the sources of Mexico’s economic growth since the 1960s, and compares various decompositions of historical growth into trend and cyclical components. The role of the implied output gaps in the inflation process is assessed. The paper presents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825457
This paper analyzes the sources of Mexico's economic growth since the 1960s and compares various decompositions of historical growth into its trend and cyclical components. The role of the implied output gaps in the inflationary process is then assessed. Looking ahead, the paper presents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604901
This paper presents two approaches to modeling the use of IMF resources in order to gauge whether the recent decline in credit outstanding is a temporary or a permanent phenomenon. The two approaches-the time series behavior of credit outstanding and a two-stage program selection and access...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825617
-skewed market expectations, implying a higher probability mass on crude oil prices remaining above the futures' level. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605320
We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observations, and is designed to facilitate the updating of global activity estimates as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839326