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We estimate the effects of a negative asymmetric demand shock on the real exchange rate for the euro area vis-à-vis the United States, Canada, and Japan by state-dependent sign-restricted local projection methods. We find a real depreciation when interest rates are not at the ZLB, but also when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320485
strategies with a strong history dependence lose their advantage over inflation targeting in mitigating a demand …-driven recessions when interest rates are constrained by the ELB. For supply shocks, inflation t argeting o utperforms h istory …-dependent r ules f or a s ufficiently high degree of BR. An exponential average inflation targeting rule, which features a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320809
authority's concern for inflation. These determinacy bounds are obtained by appealing to frequency domain techniques that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336765
The necessary adjustments to prominent measures of the neutral rate of interest following the COVID pandemic sparked a wide-ranging debate on the measurement and usefulness of r-star. Due to high uncertainty about relevant determinants, trend patterns and the correct estimation method, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362703
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We identify a component of monetary policy news that is extracted from high-frequency changes in risky asset prices. These surprises, which we call "risk shifts", are uncorrelated, and therefore complementary, to risk-free rate surprises. We show that (i) risk shifts capture the lion's share of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424574
Did the Federal Reserve's Quantitative Easing (QE) in the aftermath of the financial crisis have macroeconomic effects? To answer this question, we estimate a large-scale DSGE model over the sample from 1998 until 2020, including data of the Fed's balance sheet. We allow for QE to affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012426411