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The starting point is the investigation of competitiveness – resource and measure of development within the context of internationalization and globalization of the world economy. At the regional level, competitiveness must capture the distinguishing features that influence the overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827559
The paper estimates a medium-term forecasting model used to generate short-term series of the quarterly GDP. The GDP used was computed using the expenditures decomposition method in accordance with the national accounts, and the data were generated by applying the principal components analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827560
The paper estimates a medium-term forecasting model used to generate short-term series of the quarterly GDP. The GDP used was computed using the production decomposition method in accordance with the national accounts, and the data were generated by applying the principal components analysis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827562
The author uses two models derived from the general model of stagflation in order to analyze long term trends of inflation-unemployment relationship. The first model assumes a simple linear correlation between unemployment and the growth rate of GDP, while inflation is a parabolic function of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827571
In order to obtain plausible scenarios of economic development in Romania up to 2010-2015 horizon, the authors use a mix of forecasting models, like „medium-term” ones and „long-run” models. In this respect three alternative models are used, a sustainability function model (for public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827575
The paper presents a high-frequency (monthly) forecast for six macroeconomic indicators: industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, monetary base, households’ savings and exchange rate.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827583
The short-term forecasts regard the trend of several macroeconomic indicators, namely the GDP, industrial output, inflation, unemployment rate, the monetary base, total household savings, and exchange rate, for February 2002.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827584