We quantify the impact of demographic change on real interest rates, house prices and household debt in an overlapping-generations model. Falling birth and death rates across advanced economies can explain much of the observed fall in real interest rates and the rise in house prices and...

The distribution of asset holdings among US banks is increasingly concentrated toward a few large banks at the top. Concurrently, the household wealth inequality has increased. This paper provides a theoretical link between these empirical facts, by developing a novel quantitative general...

This paper presents an interpretation of post-1953 Colombian economic growth and a discussion on future outcomes. The interpretation takes the form of a data playback guided by the decentralized equilibrium version of the Cass-Koopmans-Ramsey model. The role of technical change as a driver of...

We quantify the impact of past and future global demographic change on real interest rates, house prices and household debt in an overlapping generations model. Falling birth and death rates can explain a large part of the fall in world real interest rates and the rise in house prices and...

This paper studies attention allocation behavior of rationally inattentive consumers who have CRRA preferences, face uninsured capital income risk, and suffer from an information-processing capacity constraint. For given attention devoted to capital income risk, we solve for the optimal...

This paper studies risk premia in an incomplete-markets economy with households facing idiosyncratic consumption risk. If the dispersion of idiosyncratic risk varies over the business cycle and households have preference for early resolution of uncertainty, asset prices will be affected not only...

A dynamic stochastic model of global equilibrium, where countries outside the U.S. face higher risk than the U.S. itself, predicts current account surpluses in the RoW and U.S. deficits. With Loss Aversion, such precautionary savings can cause substantial 'global imbalances', particularly if...

This study proposes a general equilibrium life-cycle model where households make labor supply decisions and smooth consumption using one asset. This asset involves a stochastic adjustment cost. A recession arises when the tax revenue generated from a tax hike is spent as government expenditures....

The publication of the book Capital in the Twenty-First Century by Piketty helped to increase the debate about the prospects of the evolution of income and wealth inequality in this century. One of the main controversies is about the effects to the income and wealth inequalities of a decrease in...

We examine a trivariate time series model that is subject to a regime switch, where the shifts are governed by an unobserved, two-state variable that follows a Markov process. The analysis is performed in a Bayesian framework developed by Albert and Chib (1993), where the unobserved states are...