Showing 51 - 60 of 27,453
We investigate the significance of fundamentals variables and uncertainty of appropriate models in one-, two-, four-, and eight-quarter ahead forecasts of quarterly yen-dollar real exchange rates by using 16 fundamentals-based models and the random walk model. Our empirical results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010894537
This paper shows that there are two regularities in foreign exchange markets in advanced countries with flexible regimes. First, real exchange rates are mean-reverting, as implied by the Purchasing Power Parity model. Second, the adjustment takes place via nominal exchange rates. These features...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011916855
This paper examines whether the behaviour of the real exchange rate is associated with a particular regime for the nominal exchange rate, like fixed and flexible exchange rate arrangements. The analysis is based on 16 annual real exchange rates and covers a long time span, 1870-2006. Four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264984
In this paper we evaluate the predictive power of the three most popular equilibrium exchange rate concepts: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) and the Macroeconomic Balance (MB) approach. We show that there is a clear trade-off between storytelling and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389561
This paper tests the traditional monetary model of exchange rates for a sample of industrialized and emerging market economies by making use of panel techniques that allow for a high degree of heterogeneity across countries. The results demonstrated partial support for the monetary model for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290679
This paper investigates the presence of periodically collapsing rational bubbles in exchange rates for a sample of industrialised countries. A periodically collapsing rational bubble is defined as an explosive deviation from economic fundamentals with distinct expansion and contraction phases in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290681
This paper tests the traditional monetary model of exchange rates for a sample of industrialized and emerging market economies by making use of panel techniques that allow for a high degree of heterogeneity across countries. The results demonstrated partial support for the monetary model for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003359810
This paper investigates the presence of periodically collapsing rational bubbles in exchange rates for a sample of industrialised countries. A periodically collapsing rational bubble is defined as an explosive deviation from economic fundamentals with distinct expansion and contraction phases in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003368068
This paper analyzes how the global financial crisis has impacted emerging Asia and identifies key characteristics that have made these economies more or less vulnerable to a transmission of crises from the advanced economies. After reviewing how economic outcomes in emerging Asia have evolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134232
This paper investigates the drivers of reserves in emerging markets (EMs) and small island (SIs) and develops an operational metric for estimating reserves in SIs taking into account their unique characteristics. It uses quantile regression techniques to allow the estimated factors driving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098602