While this is typically ignored, the properties of the stochastic process followed by aggregate consumption affect the estimates of the costs of fluctuations. This paper pursues two approaches to modelling aggregate consumption dynamics and to measuring how much society dislikes fluctuations,...

This paper uses the European Commission’s QUEST macroeconomic model to analyse the impact of structural reforms on economic activity in an environment in which the zero bound on monetary policy rates is temporarily binding. The simulations suggest that although such reforms can have a negative...

In this Manifesto, we make a set of proposals to fight unemployment in the EU. We believe that the European unemployment problem needs to be attacked on two fronts: through a broad spectrum of supply-side policies and the demand management policy. The expansion of aggregate demand is necessary...

In this Manifesto, we make a set of proposals to fight unemployment in the EU. We believe that the European unemployment problem needs to be attacked on two fronts: through a broad spectrum of supply-side policies and the demand management policy. The expansion of aggregate demand is necessary...

The 1997/98 financial crisis of Thailand has been extensively analyzed and yet, important questions remain to be answered regarding consumer behavior and its implications in regard to the crisis. This paper attempts to analyze the movements of consumer spending in Thailand during the period from...

This article examines the macroeconomic factors influencing the flow of remittances to selected English-speaking Caribbean countries. A balanced two way fixed effects (FE) model, a random effects (RE) model and the adjusted fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) model (designed to correct...

This paper develops a macroeconometric model for the Bangladesh economy using nine key macroeconomic variables employing annual data from 1974 to 2000. The methodology employed in this paper uses unit root and Johansen's cointegration tests followed by vector error correction model and variance...

This paper investigates the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) flows in dynamic econometric model on Pakistan economy data set (1970-2007). VAR, VEC, generalized impulse response functions, Granger causality, forecasting, three stage least square econometric techniques are used in...

Information on economic policy uncertainty (EPU) does matter in predicting oil returns especially when accounting for omitted nonlinearities in the relationship between these two variables via a time-varying coefficient approach. In this work, we compare the forecastability of standard, Bayesian...