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A rational-expectations equilibrium with positive demand for financial information does exist under fully revealing asset price - contrary to a wide-held conjecture. Generalizing the common additive signal-return model with CARA utility to the family of distributions with moment generating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451345
This paper investigates the sources of the profitability of 1024 moving average and momentum models when trading in the German mark (euro)/U.S. dollar market based on daily data. The main results are as follows. First, each of these models would have been profitable over the entire sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011494843
The authors study a simple model of an asset market with informed and non-informed agents. In the absence of non-informed agents, the market becomes information efficient when the number of traders with different private information is large enough. Upon introducing non-informed agents, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132080
We study the impact of the arrival of macroeconomic news on the informational and noise-driven components in high-frequency quote processes and their conditional variances. We decompose bid and ask returns into a common ("efficient return") factor and two market-side-specific components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113491
This paper analyzes the impact of both penal law and prosecution of insider trading on the informational efficiency of securities markets. We show that increasing the severity of penalties to insider trading as well as making insider prosecution more efficient might improve the price discovery...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114692
This paper develops a methodology to test whether recent developments on world oil markets are in line with the hypothesis of efficient markets. We treat the joint hypothesis problem as stated by Fama (1970), Fama (1991), that market efficiency can only be assessed in conjunction with a price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115114
Recent work considers whether information is simultaneously reflected in both option and equity markets. We provide new evidence supporting Black's (Financ. Anal. J. 31:36–72, 1975) conjecture that information is first revealed in option markets. Specifically, changes in call and put...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121020
The Romanian capital market has considerably grown in the last decade. This study reveals new evidences regarding informational efficiency of this market. Applying Multiple Variance Ratio test to random walk hypothesis, assuming, on the one hand homoskedasticity, and on the other hand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096237
In this paper we investigate whether better information about the macroeconomic environment of an economy has a positive impact on its capital inflows, namely portfolio and foreign direct investment (FDI). The purpose of our study is to explicitly quantify information asymmetries by compliance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098566
In this paper we investigate whether better information about the macroeconomic environment of an economy has a positive impact on its capital inflows, namely portfolio and foreign direct investment (FDI). The purpose of our study is to explicitly quantify information asymmetries by compliance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099279