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the series persistence and volatility. Comparing a traditional risk indicator to our suggested one we find that the …A contribution to the study of volatility and country risk is made in order to achieve a successful crosscountry … probabilistic distribution different from intrinsic GDP volatility. Clusters arrangement is different with some risk country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015255671
We examine the accuracy of survey-based expectations of the Chilean exchange rate relative to the US dollar. Our out-of-sample analysis reveals that survey-based forecasts outperform the Driftless Random Walk (DRW) in terms of Mean Squared Prediction Error at several forecasting horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262273
The interaction of volatility between the financial markets and gold market is analyzed. The volatility of the price of … of the variables itself. Through these models we proved there is a relationship between the volatility of gold prices and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108622
We propose an empirical approach to determine the various economic sources driving the US yield curve. We allow the conditional dynamics of the yield at different maturities to change in reaction to past information coming from several relevant predictor variables. We consider both endogenous,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991599
volatility of the interbank interest rates, especially after September 2008. Banking institutions from the Euro zone have avoided … random walk? In our research we deal with unit root tests taking into consideration structural breaks and the persistence of … the volatility. We also examine the long run equilibrium between the term structures of interest rates appealing at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258912
dynamics and measures the persistence of shocks to the sovereign bond yield volatility in India from 1 January 2016, to 18 May … 2022, using a family of GARCH models. The empirical results indicate the high volatility persistence across the maturity … existence of weak volatility persistence and rapid mean reversion in the bear market. This shows that the economic response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500716
dynamics and measures the persistence of shocks to the sovereign bond yield volatility in India from 1 January 2016, to 18 May … 2022, using a family of GARCH models. The empirical results indicate the high volatility persistence across the maturity … existence of weak volatility persistence and rapid mean reversion in the bear market. This shows that the economic response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015074653
to examine the risk - return trade-off in the term structure of interest rates before and after the introduction of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644
dynamics and measures the persistence of shocks to the sovereign bond yield volatility in India from 1 January 2016, to 18 May … 2022, using a family of GARCH models. The empirical results indicate the high volatility persistence across the maturity … existence of weak volatility persistence and rapid mean reversion in the bear market. This shows that the economic response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351436
volatility property and the structural break appear to be the common intrigue features of the exchange rates in the two periods … by using the FIGARCH model. In particular, the long memory volatility properties in the two periods are found to be …-FIGARCH model to consider the long memory volatility property and the structural breaks jointly. The main finding is that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011765010