We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and … for modeling the ISE-100 return volatility. The t-distribution seems to characterize the distribution of the heavy tailed … model to the historical ISE-100 return data indicates that the return volatility reacts to bad news 24% more than they react …

Does Indian sovereign yield volatility reflect economic fundamentals, or whether it is a self-generated force flowing … through markets with little connection to such fundamentals? To answer the question, this research explores the volatility … dynamics and measures the persistence of shocks to the sovereign bond yield volatility in India from 1 January 2016, to 18 May …

This paper provides empirical evidence that combinations of option implied and time series volatility forecasts that … application is for volatility forecasts of the Mexican Peso–US Dollar exchange rate, where realized volatility calculated using … intra-day data is used as a proxy for the (latent) daily volatility. -- Composite Forecasts ; Forecast Evaluation ; GARCH …

This paper shows that combinations of option implied and time series volatility forecasts that are conditional on … that this method works well in practice by applying it to volatility forecasts for the Mexican Peso-US Dollar exchange rate …, where the actual value is taken to be the realized volatility measured using intra-day observations …

Does Indian sovereign yield volatility reflect economic fundamentals, or whether it is a self-generated force flowing … through markets with little connection to such fundamentals? To answer the question, this research explores the volatility … dynamics and measures the persistence of shocks to the sovereign bond yield volatility in India from 1 January 2016, to 18 May …

intensified the returns vulnerability of banking indices. Against this backdrop, this study intends to model the volatility of the … literature in three ways. First, volatility during the sample period, which corresponds to a time of stress (a bear market), is … more persistent, with an estimated coefficient of 0.995695. Moreover, when volatility rises, it persists for a long time …

volatility. The research also examines the impact of powerful foreign capital markets on the Greek Stock Exchange market, the … seasonality returns (Day-of-the-Week effect) and the volatility structure. Design/methodology/approach - The analysis of data is …-GARCH model demonstrate that the debt crisis and, therefore, its consequences increase the FTSE / ASE 20 index volatility and the …

This paper analyses several volatility models by examining their ability to forecast the Value-at-Risk (VaR) for two …