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This paper suveys several recently proposed regression-based methods that can be used to evaluate the usefulness of seasonally adjusted data, with specific focus on Census X-12 adjustment. These methods examine whether seasonality has indeed been removed and whether key properties (like a trend...
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Several recent studies show that seasonal variation and cyclical variation in unemployment are correlated. A common finding is that seasonality tends to differ across the business cycle stages of recessions and expansions. Since seasonal adjustment methods assume that the two sources of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005775835
In this paper we propose to consider a measure of the persistence of shocks in linear combinations of nonlinear processes, in order to investigate the possible presence of common long-run properties. We argue that such common persistence for nonlinear time series corresponds to the concept of...
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In this paper we test for (Generalized) AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [(G) ARCH] in daily and weekly data on 22 exchange rates and 13 stock market indices using the standard Lagrange Multiplier [LM] test for GARCH and a new LM test that is resistant to additive outliers. The data...
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