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A central puzzle in international macroeconomics is that observed real exchange rates are highly volatile. Standard International Real Business Cycle (IRBC) models cannot reproduce this fact when calibrated using conventional parameterizations, and can only generate one fourth of the real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549057
Relying on new cointegration framework with structural breaks in the deterministic trend, this article employs the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008494333
This paper makes three contributions: First, I construct annual time series of gross domestic investment and national saving in the U.S. for the 1897–1949 period using historical component series. I compare the qualitative and quantitative properties of the newly constructed series with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408170
cointegration methodology and by estimating an error correction model. This enabled us to search the relationship between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731549
The J-curve hypothesis suggests a specific pattern for the response of trade balance to real exchange rate changes: a real depreciation initially worsens the trade balance, but through time the trade balance improves, and thus the response of the trade balance over time generates a tilted J...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731553
This paper presents a model yielding testable implications concerning the long-run co-movements of real exchange rates, relative productivity, the trade balance and terms of trade. Countries with higher productivity, trade deficits or improved terms of trade are found to have more appreciated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005644528
The paper examines misalignment of the Turkish lira between 1998 and 2011. We first estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate for Turkey, then compute misalignment and finally test for structural breaks in the misalignment series. Through our tests we find three structural regimes. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010827712
Limited empirical work has been done to the diverging current account balances of the individual emerging Asian economies. Based on the intertemporal approach to current account, this paper empirically examines both the long-run and short-run impacts of initial stock of net foreign assets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922731
One of the most important open macroeconomic issues, during the current global economic recession, concerns the sustainability of persistent budget and trade deficits as well as possible interactions between them. These deficits are most crucial due to severe debt servicing costs, faced by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008609702
In this paper, we first introduce investment-specific technology (IST) shocks to an otherwise standard international real business cycle model and show that a thoughtful calibration of them along the lines of Raffo (2009) successfully addresses the "quantity", "international comovement",...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008587029