This paper assesses the statistical reliability of different measures of the output gap for the Euro-11 area and the US using, inflation and unemployment systems.

In this paper we show that a two-factor constant volatility model provides an adequate description of the dynamics and shape of the German term structure of interest rates from 1972 up to 1998.

Structural models are apowerful tool for business cycle and monetary analysis because they are invariant to either policy changes or external stocks. In this paper, we derive a sidrauski-type model in which both the demand and supply side are structural in the sense that the behavorial equations...

Estimates of cyclically-adjusted budget balances, correcting actual government budget balances for business cycle fluctuations, are produced by many institutions, including the European Commission, the IMF and the OECD. This paper presents an alternative approach for the cyclical adjustment of...

Recently, several central banks have abandoned the usual secrecy in monetary policy and become very transparent. This paper provides an explanation for this puzzling fact, focussing on the disclosure of central bank forecasts. It shows that transparency reduces the inflationary bias and gives...

Recent empirical work increasingly points to imperfect intellectual property rights as an important determinant of firm's organization strategy.This paper argues that imperfect intellectual property rights, and the ensuing im- portance of reducing information leakages outside innovating firms...

This paper estimates an import demand function for the euro area vis-a-vis its main extra-area trading partners which takes into account the possible impact of both intra and extra-euro area exchange rate uncertainty.