The development in forecasting techniques has been quite significant, which is indicated by the evolution on how researchers perceive characteristics of financial data. The researchers used to employ mean in their prediction model, but nowadays they tend to employ variance in developing the...

Both practitioners and academicians demand a linkage model across financial markets, particularly among regional capital markets, for both risk management and portfolio selection purposes. Researchers frequently use co-integration and causality analysis in investigating the dependence or...

This paper attempts to investigate and clarify previous studies on market liquidity measurement, which involve Bid-Ask Spread, Trading Frequency, and Liquidity Ratio variables. To strengthen our findings, we employ Volatility Models of ARCH and GARCH, as well as JSX daily, weekly, and monthly...

Migration is an unavoidable problem for economic development in third world countries. Indonesia is an archipelagic country with high viscosity of its population’s internal migration. Over flooding wave of internal migration from periphery region to the core of growth poles increases the...

In measuring risk, practitioners have practiced one of the two extreme approaches for so long, i.e. historical simulation or risk metrics. Meanwhile, academicians tend to apply methods based on the latest development in financial econometrics. In this study, we try to assess one of important...

Volatility forecasting is an imperative research field in financial markets and crucial component in most financial decisions. Nevertheless, which model should be used to assess volatility remains a complex issue as different volatility models result in different volatility approximations. The...

This essay examines the choice of monetary policy instrument for a small open economy under flexible exchange rate regime with some reference to Indonesia. To approach the issue a simple ad-hoc aggregate supply-IS-LM model is used for the analysis. Although basically the issue concerning...

AGEFIS (Applied General Equilibrium model for FIScal Policy Analysis) is a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model designed specifically, but not limited, to analyze various aspects of fiscal policies in Indonesia. It is yet, the first Indonesian fully-SAM-based CGE model solved by Gempack....

Empirical studies on the process of monetary policy making in a number of advanced economies have shown that a simple policy reaction function (PRF) performs well in explaining the setting of monetary policy. This paper examines an application of a simple PRF in an attempt to broaden the...

The paper outlines some alternative methodologies for estimating the monetary policy reaction function. It also discusses some of the advantages and disadvantages for each available alternative to be implemented in the case of small developing economies. Additionally, a simple case study using...