Aim of this paper is to build methodologies of performance evaluation for research organisations, using a systemic approach. This approach considers the interrelations between administrative and scientific activities. The methods are based on: i) ranks, ii) ratios [Max Index : 100 = index lab i...

Campbell and Shiller average 10 years of real S&P 500 earnings to construct its Cyclically Adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE, which they then use to forecast its future 10-year returns. In essence, Campbell and Shiller kill two birds with one large stone - they use the 10-year average to reduce noise...

The objective of this paper is to provide a short-term forecast for the economic crisis in the EU. Most economic forecasts are forecasts for economic growth; forecasts for economic crisis are not common in the field. By using the Carrying Capacity Function from population studies as the basis...

This paper considers a decision problem in the context of the worth of a wind mill project with profitability dependent on the average wind speed. This is partly known and the issue is whether to go on with the project now or, with an additional cost, put up a test mill and observe, say for a...

This paper considers sampling proportional to expected size from a partly unknown distribution. The applied context is the exploration for undiscovered resources, like oil accumulations in different deposits, where the most promising deposits are likely to be drilled first, based on some...

Swaps are the monster of illicit financing once solely supported by Hydra–like cryptocurrencies and the informal value transfer system. Their complexity and opaque private market provide ideal cover for money laundering and proliferation financing beyond the reach of detection from lay...

Network-Centric Meaning-Driven Human-Centric AI-Cyber Computing Beyond Data-Driven to Event-Driven Architectures for Quantum Uncertainty, 1995-2023:Building upon the contextual focus of current global worldwide discussions on GPT, ChatGPT, GenAI, Generative AI, Large Language Model - LLMs, we...

Goal: ISO 31000 Risk Management (RM) recently re-defined risk as the effect of uncertainty on an organization's ability to meet the objectives. Earlier, it defined risk as a combination of the probability and scope of the (predicted) consequences. The revised ISO Risk advances beyond a static...

Non-life insurance companies most especially, are often faced with the challenge of predicting the number of claims and claim amount to be incurred at any given time. Overcoming such challenges requires examining claim patterns, which assists in premium determination and setting of reserves. The...