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The Impact of Demography on the Real Exchange Rate.
Andersson, A.; Osterholm, P. - Nationalekonomiska Institutionen, Uppsala Universitet - 2001
. We investigate the impact of demography on the Swedish real exchange rate, measured as the real TCW index, during 1960 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005634536
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Demographics and the Real Exchange Rate
Giagheddu, Marta - 2020
We develop a two-country, two-sector overlapping generations model to examine the effect of population aging on the real exchange rate (RER). While an older population raises the relative demand for nontradables (a feature of structural transformation) putting upward pressure on relative prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849781
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Modeling and Forecasting Age-Specific Mortality: A Bayesian Approach
Reichmuth, Wolfgang; Sarferaz, Samad - Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko, … - 2008
development of adjacent age groups is assured allowing for consistent forecasts. We develop an appropriate Markov Chain Monte … approach we are able to asses uncertainty intuitively by constructing error bands for the forecasts. We observe that in … particular parameter uncertainty is important for long-run forecasts. This implies that hitherto existing forecasting methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010609985
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Bayesian Demographic Modeling and Forecasting: An Application to U.S. Mortality
Reichmuth, Wolfgang; Sarferaz, Samad - Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko, … - 2008
development of adjacent age groups is assured allowing for consistent forecasts. We develop an appropriate Markov Chain Monte … approach we are able to asses uncertainty intuitively by constructing error bands for the forecasts. We observe that in … particular parameter uncertainty is important for long-run forecasts. This implies that hitherto existing forecasting methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005784846
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Bayesian demographic modeling and forecasting: an application to U.S. mortality
Reichmuth, Wolfgang H.; Sarferaz, Samad - 2008
development of adjacent age groups is assured allowing for consistent forecasts. We develop an appropriate Markov Chain Monte … approach we are able to asses uncertainty intuitively by constructing error bands for the forecasts. We observe that in … particular parameter uncertainty is important for long-run forecasts. This implies that hitherto existing forecasting methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276366
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Modeling and forecasting age-specific mortality: a Bayesian approach
Reichmuth, Wolfgang H.; Sarferaz, Samad - 2008
similar development of adjacent age groups is assured, allowing for consistent forecasts. We develop an appropriate Markov … Bayesian approach we are able to assess uncertainty intuitively by constructing error bands for the forecasts. We observe that … in particular parameter uncertainty is important for long-run forecasts. This implies that existing forecasting methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276367
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Demography of global aging
Bloom, David E.; Mitgang, Elizabeth; Osher, Benjamin - 2016
by introducing the facts, figures, and forecasts surrounding the aging of populations across different countries at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011528113
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The Future Population of Canada and Its Age Distribution.
Denton, F.T.; Feaver, C.; Spencer, B.G. - Department of Economics, McMaster University - 1996
This paper makes available a number of projections of the age-sex distribution of the Canadian population in the 45-year period 1996 to 2041 and comparisons with the previous 45-year period. The projections combine assumptions relating to fertility, mortality and immigration so as to produce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763390
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The Future Population of Canada and Its Age Distribution
Denton, Frank T.; Feaver, Christine H.; Spencer, Byron G. - Department of Economics, McMaster University - 1996
This paper makes available a number of projections of the age-sex distribution of the Canadian population for the 45-year period 1996 to 2041 and comparisons with the previous 45-year period. The projections combine assumptions relating to fertility, mortality, and migration so as to produce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635276
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Can Demography Improve Inflation Forecasts? The Case of Sweden
Bruér, Mattias - 2002
corresponding to the stipulated inflation target. The age model is also considerably better than the consensus forecasts and it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321784