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We examine whether the news shocks, as explored in Beaudry and Portier(2004), can be a major source of aggregate fluctuations. For this purpose, we extend a standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Evans (2005), and Smets and Wouters (2003, 2007) by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008624635
We argue that long-run inflation has nonlinear and state-dependent effects on unemployment, output, and welfare. Using … anticipated inflation and unemployment. Second, there is also a positive correlation between anticipated inflation and … unemployment volatility. Third, the long-run inflation-unemployment relationship is not only positive, but also stronger when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625516
, we demonstrate that effort dampens the response of inflation to exogenous shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134398
Low and stable inflation requires an appropriate fiscal framework aimed at stabilizing government debt. Historically …, trend inflation is critically influenced by actual or perceived changes to this framework, while cost-push shocks only … account for short-lasting movements in inflation. Before the pandemic, a moderate level of fiscal inflation has counteracted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013357155
Central banks that lack credibility often tie their exchange rate to that of a more credible partner in order to “import” credibility. We show in a small open economy model that a central bank that displays “limited credibility” can deliver significant improvements to a social welfare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971241
show that as central bank credibility falls, they are more likely to adopt either an inflation target or a pegged exchange … rate. A relatively closed economy would adopt an inflation target to overcome the time-inconsistency problem, but a highly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924808
show that as central bank credibility falls, they are more likely to adopt either an inflation target or a pegged exchange … rate. A relatively closed economy would adopt an inflation target to overcome the time-inconsistency problem, but a highly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948838
We document how product quality responds to exchange rate movements and quantify the extent to which these quality changes affect the aggregate pass-through into export prices. We analyze the substantial sudden appreciation of the Swiss franc post removal of the 1.20-CHF-per-euro lower bound in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463278
Much has been written on the impact of the global financial crisis on Europe, Asia and the Americas but only little on the Arab states. This article makes an early attempt to take stock of recent developments in the Arab world and offers a systematic approach to disentangle the various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085831
During a time of rising world interest rates, the central bank of a small open economy may be motivated to increase its own interest rate to keep from suffering a destabilizing outflow of capital and depreciation in the exchange rate. This is especially true for a small open economy with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969917