values and the forecasts provided by the European Commission, the National Commission for Prognosis and Dobrescu’s model over … predictions of these models and naive forecasts brought a statistically significant improvement for projections made by Romanian …

explicitly in literature as a source of forecasts uncertainty. In this study based on data on U.S. GDP and its components in 1995 …-2010, we found that GDP one-step-ahead forecasts made by aggregating the components with variable weights, modeled using ARMA … procedure, have a higher accuracy than those with constant weights or the direct forecasts. Excepting the GDP forecasts obtained …

calculation at the individual level. This document describes the implementation method and the results of the forecasts. First, on …

-based forecasts would have had prior and during the crisis period. Given that forecasts of the mean of interest rates or financial … a rolling window analysis, both the model’s forecasts and joint prediction bands are calculated making use of recently …

content of a large number of financial variables for Canada's output growth. The forecasts are evaluated over two identified …