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expectations. In the open economy context, we make the assumption that all imports are intermediate goods. Possible persistence in … expectations is taken into account by using direct proxies i.e. Consensus Economics survey data for inflation expectations. The … analysis must be based on structural models, which capture expectations dynamics and the open economy aspects of the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551990
assumption that all imports are intermediate goods. Instead of imposing rational expectations a priori, Consensus Economics … survey data and OECD inflation forecasts are used to proxy inflation expectations. The results suggest that, compared with a … specification. Moreover, in the open economy context, and even if we allow for persistence in expectations, the hybrid specification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723885
This paper applies GMMestimation to assess empirically the small open-economy New Keynesian Phillips Curve derived in Galí and Monacelli (2005). We obtain a testable specification where fluctuations in the terms of trade enter explicitly, thus allowing a comparison of the relevance of domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294863
In this paper we evaluate the relative influence of external versus domestic inflation drivers in the 12 new European Union (EU) member countries. Our empirical analysis is based on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) derived in Galí and Monacelli (2005) for small open economies (SOE)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294894
This paper applies GMMestimation to assess empirically the small open-economy New Keynesian Phillips Curve derived in Galí and Monacelli (2005). We obtain a testable specification where fluctuations in the terms of trade enter explicitly, thus allowing a comparison of the relevance of domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009239047
In this paper we evaluate the relative influence of external versus domestic inflation drivers in the 12 new European Union (EU) member countries. Our empirical analysis is based on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) derived in Galí and Monacelli (2005) for small open economies (SOE)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009239698
We estimate both a forward looking and a hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve using Generalized Method of Moments (GMM).the findings suggest that inflation is persistent phenomenon in Pakistan and past inflation is having significant explanatory power. Contrary to conventional wisdom, the output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014042959
In this paper we evaluate the relative influence of external versus domestic inflation drivers in the 12 new European Union (EU) member countries. Our empirical analysis is based on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) derived in Gali and Monacelli (2005) for small open economies (SOE)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008552071
Does theory aid inflation forecasting? To date, the evidence suggests that there is no systematic advantage of theory-based models of inflation dynamics over their astructural counterparts. This study reconsiders the issue by developing a “semi-structural” forecasting procedure comprised of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778567
In this paper we evaluate the relative influence of external versus domestic inflation drivers in the 12 new European Union (EU) member countries. Our empirical analysis is based on the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) derived in Galí and Monacelli (2005) for small open economies (SOE)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008578322