Experiments in psychology, where subjects estimate confidence intervals to a series of factual questions, have shown … that individuals report far too narrow intervals. This has been interpreted as evidence of overconfidence in the … growing literature in economics has incorporated overconfidence in models of, for instance, financial markets. In this paper …

attribute to a socially rational trade-off between informativeness and accuracy. -- overconfidence ; uncertainty ; monetary …Experiments in psychology, where subjects estimate confidence intervals to a series of factual questions, have shown … that individuals report far too narrow intervals. This has been interpreted as evidence of overconfidence in the …

overconfidence. Cognitive uncertainty represents a decision maker's uncertainty about her action optimality. We present a simple … model of overconfidence based on the concept of cognitive uncertainty. The model relates the concepts theoretically and …Overconfidence is one of the most ubiquitous cognitive bias. There is copious evidence of overconfidence being relevant …

overconfidence and overentry into competition. In a broader context, the results provide an explanation for the overconfidence of …

overconfidence and overentry into competition. In a broader context, the results provide an explanation for the overconfidence of …

overconfidence and overentry into competition. In a broader context, the results provide an explanation for the overconfidence of …

overconfidence and overentry into competition. In a broader context, the results provide an explanation for the overconfidence of …

overconfidence and overentry into competition. In a broader context, the results provide an explanation for the overconfidence of …

overconfidence and overentry into competition. In a broader context, the results provide an explanation for the overconfidence of …