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indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316597
The paper analyses the short-run impact of periods of strong monetary growth on inflation dynamics for 15 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317101
This paper investigates the properties of monetary and credit aggregates as indicators for future price developments in the euro area. The forecasting performance of models including indicators based on money and credit is assessed in a simulated out-of-sample forecasting exercise for forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320283
dispersion reduces welfare by creating mismatch between posted prices and money balances. Inflation exacerbates this welfare loss …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932364
We study the welfare costs of inflation in a monetary general equilibrium model with networks in the labor market …. Inflation affects the consumption-leisure choice differently depending on job network structure; inflation hits harder in more … connected networks. In these networks, people consume more and enjoy more leisure, leading to higher welfare. Inflation reduces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010856693
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083148
This paper studies the effect of inflation on welfare in a monetary economy with price dispersion and consumer search …. When facing greater price dispersion with higher inflation, consumers search harder for lower prices, and increased search … frictions to incorporate the interrelationship of money, search, and endogenous price dispersion. Inflation aspects welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009327859
inflation. This relationship is strong in economies with high inflation, but weakens under low inflation. Based on these … findings, we study the dependence of the money-prices relationship on the level of inflation in Argentina along the last 35 … and inflation. Proportionality holds for the high inflation period but weakens under low inflation. Money velocity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552028
spending decisions of enterprises and households and thus inflation. One way, to describe the relationship between real … interest rates and inflation, is based on our experience with the monetary theory of the price level. The quantity theory of … paper we use two simple descriptions of the long run link between real interest rates and inflation, and subsequently test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631485
sunspot that deanchors inflation expectations matches the main empirical features of the Japanese deflationary process during … the “lost decade”. The results also highlight the key role of the assumption about the anchoring of inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965842