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The presence of a bubble in the US housing market prior to the 2007 subprime mortgage financial crisis is investigated. This is done by looking into the relationship between house prices and rental prices, known as the price–rent ratio, which is an important measure of a potential deviation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065323
on headline measures of inflation. In this paper we investigate what happens if we instead use core inflation to both … inflation produces more disinflation episodes than core inflation does – something which is particularly conspicuous during the …-turkey approach to reducing inflation disappears when combining the use of core inflation with sacrifice ratio measures that allow for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065336
This paper extends a standard New Keynesian model to describe the effects of anticipated shocks to inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065354
We apply linear and non-linear Granger causality tests to four U.S. price indices and 31 commodity series, which expand a 54-year period (January 1957–December 2011). We find evidence of linear Granger causality mostly from individual commodities to price indices. The latter, however, seem to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011066024
or non-sterilised, may have a positive impact on economic activity. Instead of emphasising inflation targeting, non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005392574
This paper introduces a new indicator of core inflation for New Zealand, estimated using a dynamic factor model and … with a wide range of other ‘core inflation’ measures estimated from disaggregate prices, such as the weighted median and … inflation outcomes. The 2 year centred moving average is used as an analytical approximation of the inflation target from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005395292
correlated with the business cycle, both output and inflation become more variable. However, the output gap is still useful for … stabilising output and inflation. Basing policy actions on the output gap directly and/or indirectly through forecasts of … inflation leads to better macroeconomic stability than basing policy actions solely on currently available observable data such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005395314
may have been temporarily boosted. However, demand pressures would have probably been greater and inflation higher. In … particular, results suggest that over the latter part of the 1990s annual inflation would have been around 1 percentage point …, then the variability of inflation and output would increase over the business cycle. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005395315
This paper reviews the concept of core inflation, focusing on the alternative interpretations of core inflation as the … persistent or generalised element of inflation. The role of a core inflation measure in policy formulation, communication and … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005395320
It is standard to model the output-inflation trade-off as a linear relationship with a time-invariant slope. We assess … coincided with stable, albeit moderately negative, inflation. We document that this episode is most convincingly interpreted as … Phillips curve slope. Our results suggest that, in any economy where trend inflation is substantially lower (or substantially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005395324