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Much research has investigated the differences between option implied volatilities and econometric model-based forecasts in terms of forecast accuracy and relative informational content. Implied volatility is a market determined forecast, in contrast to model-based forecasts that employ some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635660
The implicit assumption of linearity is an important element in empirical finance. This study presents a hypothesis testing approach which examines the linear behaviour of the conditional mean between stock and bond returns. Conventional tests detect spurious non-linearity in the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635670
This paper develops a real options framework to analyze the behavior of stock returns in mergers and acquisitions. In this framework, the timing and terms of takeovers are endogenous and result from value-maximizing decisions. The implications of the model for abnormal announcement returns are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222541
We analyse questions of arbitrage in financial markets in which asset prices change in time as stationary stochastic processes. The main focus of the paper is on a model where the price vectors are independent and identically distributed. In the framework of this model, we find conditions that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222544
We revisit the apparent historical success of technical trading rules on daily prices of the DJIA from 1897 to 2008. We use the False Discovery Rate as a new approach to data snooping. The advantage of the FDR over existing methods is that it selects more outperforming rules and di- versies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222551
An important claim of Bayesian learning and a standard assumption in price discovery models is that the strength of the price impact of unanticipated information depends on the precision of the news. In this paper, we test for this assumption by analyzing intra-day price responses of CBOT T-bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005225476
This paper analyzes the effects of official, daily Bank of Canada intervention in the CAD/USD exchange rate market over the January 1995 to September 1998 period. Using an event study methodology and different criteria for effectiveness, movements in the CAD/USD exchange rate over the 1 through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005225533
This paper proposes a dynamic proportional hazard (PH) model with non-specified baseline hazard for the modelling of autoregressive duration processes. A categorization of the durations allows us to reformulate the PH model as an ordered response model based on extreme value distributed errors....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005225542
The paper presents an artificial financial market designed to analyse market dynamics from the behaviour of investors. The model especially allows highlighting the role of a particular kind of institution in the orientation of market dynamics. The information – delivered by financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005230158
In issue three of 2002 of Economic Studies the author defined three assumptions, which in general assert that under the conditions of information asymmetry the small and medium enterprises (SMEs) are affected in a relatively greater degree by the problems of financing. In addition, according to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005230711