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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006816728
Models with heterogeneous interacting agents explain macro phenomena through interactions at the micro level. We propose genetic algorithms as a model for individual expectations to explain aggregate market phenomena. The model explains all stylized facts observed in aggregate price fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755154
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010058374
This note presents a simple example of a model in which the unique rational expectations (RE) steady state equilibrium is eductively stable in the sense of Guesnerie (2002), but where evolutionary learning, as introduced in Brock and Hommes (1997), does not necessarily converge to the RE steady...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008487890
In this paper we develop and estimate a behavioral model of inflation dynamics with monopolistic competition, staggered price setting and heterogeneous firms. In our stylized framework there are two groups of price setters, fundamentalists and naive. Fundamentalists are forward-looking in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256332
We propose a behavioural model of technological change with evolutionary switching between boundedly rational costly innovators and free imitators, and study the endogenous interplay of innovation decisions, market price dynamics and technological progress. Innovation and imitation are strategic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256340
See also the publication 'Bifurcation Routes to Volatility Clustering under Evolutionary Learning' in the 'Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization'. Volume 67(1), pp. 27-47.<P> A simple asset pricing model with two types of adaptively learning traders,fundamentalists and technical analysts, is...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256575
This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'European Economic Review' (2013). Vol. 61, pp. 186-204.<P> Rational Expectations (RE) models have two crucial dimensions: 1) agents correctly forecast future prices given all available information, and 2) given expectations, agents solve...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256912
The way in which individual expectations shape aggregate macroeconomic variables is crucial for the transmission and effectiveness of monetary policy. We study the individual expectations formation process and the interaction with monetary policy, within a standard New Keynesian model, by means...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257145
This discussion paper led to an article in 'Journal of Economic Theory' (2014). Volume 150, pp. 778-814.<P> We propose behavioral learning equilibria as a plausible explanation of coordination of individual expectations and aggregate phenomena such as excess volatility in stock prices and high...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257225