In nonlinear state-space models, sequential learning about the hidden state can proceed by particle filtering when the density of the observation conditional on the state is available analytically (e.g. Gordon et al. 1993). This condition need not hold in complex environments, such as the...

The conventional Edgeworth expansion view of bootstrap confidence intervals suggests that for the bootstrap to exceed the accuracy of the normal approximation one must bootstrap asymptotically pivotal statistics. This paper questions the basic premise of the asymptotic theory used to rationalize...

This paper derives a theoretical labour market model for the tradeables sector of a small open economy. Using Greek manufacturing data and applying multivariate cointegrating techniques, two cointegrating vectors are estimated based on the a priori restrictions provided by the theoretical model;...

Computational methods both open the frontiers of economic analysis and serve as a bottleneck in what can be achieved. Using the quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) algorithm, we are the first to study whether quantum computing can improve the run time of economic applications and challenges in doing so....

In this paper, I develop a population-based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm known as parallel tempering to estimate dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Parallel tempering approximates the posterior distribution of interest using a family of Markov chains with tempered...

The main objective of this study is to investigate the rebustness of the popular Durbin-Watson (DW), Langrage multiplier (LM), Box-Pierce (BP) and Ljung-Box (LB) tests and their corrected versions against autoregressive distrurbances in the presence of dynamic heteroscedastic disturbances with...

In this paper we assess, via Monte Carlo Simulations, the effects of some seasonal adjustment linear filters on cointegrating regressions. We find that the use of filters has adverse consequences in terms of the power of the Augmented Dickey and Fuller and Phillips and Perron tests of cointegration.

We consider a kernel based approach to nonlinear canonical correlation analysis and its implementation for time series. We deduce various diagnostics for reversible processes and gaussian processes. The method is first applied to a stimulated series satisfying a diffusion equation allowing us to...

Gibbs sampling has had great success in the analysis of mixture models. In particular, the "latent varaible" formulation of the mixture model greatly reduces computational complexity. However, one failing of this approach is the possible existence of almost-absorbing states, called trapping...

Hidden Markov models is an extension of mixture models providing a flexible class of models exhibiting dependence and a possibly large degree of variability. In this paper the authors show how jump Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques can be used to estimate the parameters as well as the number...