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risk premia that vary substantially over time and significantly forecast crude oil futures and spot returns. Oil futures … aggregate outcomes. However, the option-implied tail risk premia are not spanned by traditional macroeconomic and oil market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778000
The estimation of systematic risk (or 'beta') in central to the implementation of the Capital Asset Pricing Model and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005487292
economics and their connection to risk and uncertainty. Risk-neutral valuation, a direct consequence of Black-Scholes model …, restricts the range of individual and subjective uncertainty by putting a price on replicable risk, thereby conferring to modern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005558854
This paper investigates the dynamics in the simple present discounted value asset pricing model with heterogeneous beliefs.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005795331
This paper investigates the performance and characteristics of survivor stocks in the S&P 500 index. Using both in-sample and out-of-sample comparisons, survivor stocks outperformed this market index by a considerable margin. Relative to other S&P 500 index companies, survivor stocks tend to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888297
The rare disaster hypothesis suggests that the extraordinarily high postwar U.S. equity premium resulted because investors ex ante demanded compensation for unlikely but calamitous risks that they happened not to incur. Although convincing in theory, empirical tests of the rare disaster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412353
The long-run consumption risk (LRR) model is a promising approach to resolve prominent asset pricing puzzles. The … serial correlation of consumption and dividend growth and the equilibrium conditions for market return and risk-free rate, as … well as the model-implied predictability of the risk-free rate. We match analytical moments when possible and simulated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412357
The rare disaster hypothesis suggests that the extraordinarily high postwar U.S. equity premium resulted because investors ex ante demanded compensation for unlikely but calamitous risks that they happened not to incur. Although convincing in theory, empirical tests of the rare disaster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388611
The long-run consumption risk (LRR) model is a promising approach to resolve prominent asset pricing puzzles. The … serial correlation of consumption and dividend growth and the equilibrium conditions for market return and risk-free rate, as … well as the model-implied predictability of the risk-free rate. We match analytical moments when possible and simulated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010390134
Purportedly consistent with "risk parity" (RP) asset allocation, recent studies document compelling "low risk" trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010467093