This paper studies a dynamic-optimizing model of a semi-small open economy with sticky nominal prices and wages. The model exhibits exchange rate overshooting in response to money supply shocks. The predicted variability of nominal and real exchange rates is roughly consistent with that of G7...

The half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) plays a central role in the ongoing debate about the ability of macroeconomic models to account for the time series behavior of the real exchange rate. The main contribution of this paper is a general framework in which alternative...

Two type of statistical models are empirically applied to test the pattern of volatility in the exchange rate markets. One conciders the autoregressive models and tests the random walk hypothesis. The other considers the sonditional variance process and tests the hypothesis of chaotic dynamics....

This paper aims at measuring the robustness of Real Business Cycle international stylized facts across exchange rate regimes. I thus investigate th e impact of the Bretton Woods System and the ERM on the business cycle regularities. Thanks to bootstrap techniques, I measure the accuracy of the...

This paper adds to the empirical literature on business cycle properties across exchange rate regimes. Earlier research examined the consequences of the Bretton Woods system on international stylized facts. However, the conclusions might be biased by the oil shocks at the beginning of the...

In 1994-97 Poland has recorded an outstanding economic performance in terms of GDP growth, simultaneous reduction of inflation and unemployment, fiscal balance, zloty real revaluation, capacity restructuring, private sector growth and institution building. The Polish success needed a market...

The paper investigates exchange rate cycles and their relationship to the business cycle in 7 major emerging market economies. We document the presence of periodic cycles in nominal US-dollar exchange rates and show that these are closely aligned with cycle frequencies in real output. Joint...

We develop a business cycle model in which consumption goods, physical capital and human capital are produced in separate sectors.

More than thirty years ago Milton Friedman proposed a 'plucking' model of business fluctuations in which output cannot exceed a ceiling level, but will, from time to time, be plucked downward by recession. The model implied that business fluctuations are asymmetric, that recessions have only a...