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postulates that a loss of solvency increases central bank financial vulnerability and leads to credibility losses regarding its …, such as VaR, are good forward-looking indicators of possible credibility crises. The paper analyzes risks derived both from … in order to reduce the likelihood of credibility crises. Available data and technology permits the tracking of central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062266
incentive constraints on the policy making process, such as lack of credibility, political opportunism, political ideology, and … and focuses on credibility, political business cycles, and optimal design of monetary institutions. Part II deals with … fiscal policy in a dynamic general equilibrium set up; the main topics covered in this section are credibility of tax policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070302
This paper studies the effectiveness of forward guidance when central banks have imperfect credibility. Exploiting … expectations. In our model, the key parameter that aggregates heterogeneous expectations captures the central bank's credibility …, and other major advanced economies have similar levels of credibility (albeit far from full credibility); however, Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421202
We examine to what extent central banks should release their internal assessments concerning the links between money growth and future inflation, and between employment and inflation. We show that the social value of transparency concerning real shocks is negative since the disclosure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014207141
The aim of this study is to estimate the credibility of monetary policy in four accession countries (the Czech Republic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014088849
This paper reviews the recent literature on monetary policy rules. We exposit the monetary policy design problem within a simple baseline theoretical framework. We then consider the implications of adding various real world complications. Among other things, we show that the optimal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772011
by observing the policy instrument or inflation outcomes. Measuring credibility as the distance between the perceived … target and the actual target, an increase in credibility is beneficial to the central bank because it brings the policy … deviations from target. I then illustrate the impact of other factors on credibility formation, including choice of monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132891
model, we argue that the real effects of the Volcker disinflation were mainly due to its imperfect credibility. In our view … key indicators of its imperfect credibility. Studying transcripts of the Federal Open Market Committee recently released … rates as indicative of inflation expectations and of the credibility of their disinflationary policy. Drawing from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136793
incentive constraints on the policy-making process, such as lack of credibility, political opportunism, political ideology, and …, and focuses on credibility, political business cycles, and optimal design of monetary institutions. Part II deals with … fiscal policy in a dynamic general equilibrium set up; the main topics covered in this section are credibility of tax policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498016
This study shows that the private sector accurately predicts short-term interest rate targets set by the Brazilian monetary authorities. With increased transparency under inflation targeting, such evidence suggests that the public perceives the central bank as credible.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010572196